The standoff over emergency diesel stocks ended Friday in a pledge, not a delivery. Group of Seven countries agreed to release 100 million barrels of diesel and crude over four months. Louisiana’s average is still $5.88 a gallon.
G7 leaders said the release will be coordinated by the International Energy Agency, begin immediately, and include a front-loaded “substantial” diesel release within the first 20 days by G7 members and partners, according to the joint statement reported by CBC. The statement does not say how much of the 100 million barrels is diesel rather than crude, or which country will release what, Reuters reported.
It does say members will not restrict energy exports to one another. “We reaffirm our commitment to refrain from export restrictions on energy and energy products between G7 countries and call on all producers to refrain from imposing bans that could exacerbate market tensions,” the statement said.
That line is the one that matters on the Gulf Coast. The Trump administration had told France and Germany to draw down emergency diesel or face a potential U.S. export ban, Reuters reported Thursday. President Trump wrote on Truth Social that Europe had agreed to release “a massive amount of their heavily stocked Diesel Oil” and that the process would begin immediately.
Markets moved before any barrel left a tank. U.S. diesel futures fell more than 4 percent to $4.4491 a gallon after reports of the stock-release talks, and European diesel futures fell by more than $90 a metric ton, Reuters said. The Financial Times put the European benchmark down about 8 percent, to $1,337.75 a tonne, the lowest since the start of September, and New York Harbor wholesale diesel down almost 5 percent, to $4.43 a gallon.
None of that has reached a Louisiana pump. AAA put the state diesel average at $5.88 a gallon as of Friday, against $3.32 a year earlier. The state record is $6.03, set Sept. 21. Friday’s average was a penny under Thursday’s. In Baton Rouge, the diesel average was $5.89.
The gap is the point of the next few weeks. European stocks do not automatically become Gulf Coast supply. The way a release could ease Louisiana prices is indirect: if European tanks refill, the pull on U.S. exports eases, and domestic inventories get room to rebuild. The governor’s office has said those inventories are running 12.5 percent below the five-year average, while net exports sit near five-year highs. U.S. distillate exports hit a weekly record of 1.9 million barrels a day in early August, Energy Information Administration data show.
Europe is a major destination for that fuel. Monthly EIA figures show U.S. distillate exports to the Netherlands, a trading hub, averaged about 213,000 barrels a day from March through June, up from about 92,000 a year earlier, a WECU News calculation of the agency’s data found. Europe has boosted U.S. diesel imports this year because the Iran war disrupted supply from Gulf producers, Reuters reported.
